Ottawa Senators at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2024-03-23 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 2 - 5 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

NJD: 44.8%

OTT: 55.2%

Expected Goals

NJD: 2.86

OTT: 3.41

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • NJD at home vs OTT: 1-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	NJD 4 - 3 OTT	NJD	NJD
2026-01-31	OTT 4 - 1 NJD	OTT	OTT
2025-12-09	OTT 3 - 4 NJD	NJD	OTT
2025-03-22	NJD 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-01-19	NJD 1 - 2 OTT	OTT	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	5	2	0.84
1	OTT	10	0	0.79
2	NJD	13	1	1.04
2	OTT	19	0	1.16
3	NJD	9	0	0.64
3	OTT	13	0	0.62

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 2 - 5 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 2.9 - 3.4