Ottawa Senators at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2024-03-23 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 2 - 5 Ottawa Senators
🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 57.5%
OTT: 42.5%
Expected Goals
NJD: 3.01
OTT: 3.48
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 48%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 15-13-1 | 0.882 SV% | 3.20 GAA
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 16-8-5 | 0.884 SV% | 2.86 GAA
| Stat | NJD | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.881 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.899 | 0.882 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.921 | 0.915 |
| GAA | 3.32 | 2.95 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 12% • NJD at home vs OTT: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | OTT 4 - 1 NJD | OTT | OTT |
| 2025-12-09 | OTT 3 - 4 NJD | NJD | OTT |
| 2025-03-22 | NJD 2 - 3 OTT | OTT | NJD |
| 2025-01-19 | NJD 1 - 2 OTT | OTT | NJD |
| 2024-10-17 | OTT 1 - 3 NJD | NJD | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:56 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 00:23 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 00:59 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 04:06 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 06:02 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 09:01 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 10:15 | OTT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 2 - 5 Ottawa Senators
Expected: 3.0 - 3.5