Florida Panthers at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-03-23 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 4 - 3 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Win (57% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 42.8%

FLA: 57.2%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.77

FLA: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 38%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • NYR at home vs FLA: 3-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-13	FLA 3 - 2 NYR	FLA	FLA
2026-03-29	NYR 3 - 1 FLA	NYR	NYR
2026-01-02	FLA 1 - 5 NYR	NYR	FLA
2025-04-14	FLA 3 - 5 NYR	NYR	FLA
2024-12-30	FLA 5 - 3 NYR	FLA	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	11	1	0.52
1	FLA	14	0	0.48
2	NYR	17	0	1.14
2	FLA	15	0	1.10
3	NYR	11	0	0.28
3	FLA	4	0	0.11
4	NYR	5	0	0.46
4	FLA	5	0	0.38
5	NYR	3	2	1.65
5	FLA	3	1	1.03

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 4 - 3 Florida Panthers

Expected: 2.8 - 3.1