Columbus Blue Jackets at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2024-03-23 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

Win Probability

VGK: 70.6%

CBJ: 29.4%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.11

CBJ: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • VGK at home vs CBJ: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-08	VGK 5 - 3 CBJ	VGK	VGK
2025-12-13	CBJ 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-03-13	CBJ 0 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-01-30	VGK 1 - 2 CBJ	CBJ	VGK
2024-03-23	VGK 4 - 2 CBJ	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	15	0	0.84
1	CBJ	13	0	0.38
2	VGK	26	3	1.97
2	CBJ	4	2	0.56
3	VGK	22	0	0.86
3	CBJ	13	0	0.51

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 70.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 2 Columbus Blue Jackets

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0