Winnipeg Jets at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2024-03-24 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 3 - 0 Winnipeg Jets

Win Probability

WSH: 59.7%

WPG: 40.3%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.08

WPG: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 42%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WSH at home vs WPG: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-13	WPG 5 - 1 WSH	WPG	WSH
2025-11-26	WSH 4 - 3 WPG	WSH	WSH
2025-03-25	WPG 3 - 2 WSH	WPG	WPG
2025-02-01	WSH 4 - 5 WPG	WPG	WSH
2024-03-24	WSH 3 - 0 WPG	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	13	0	0.58
1	WPG	12	0	0.46
2	WSH	6	0	0.34
2	WPG	18	0	1.50
3	WSH	10	1	0.74
3	WPG	17	0	0.81

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 3 - 0 Winnipeg Jets

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0