Pittsburgh Penguins at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2024-03-24 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 5 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins

Win Probability

COL: 65.0%

PIT: 35.0%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.48

PIT: 2.50

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • COL at home vs PIT: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-24	PIT 2 - 6 COL	COL	COL
2026-03-16	COL 2 - 7 PIT	PIT	COL
2025-03-04	COL 4 - 1 PIT	COL	COL
2024-12-10	PIT 2 - 6 COL	COL	COL
2024-03-24	COL 5 - 4 PIT	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	8	0	0.35
1	PIT	24	1	1.86
2	COL	23	0	1.56
2	PIT	16	0	0.66
3	COL	15	1	1.14
3	PIT	9	0	0.32
4	COL	1	0	0.11
4	PIT	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 5 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.5 - 2.5