Pittsburgh Penguins at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2024-03-24 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 5 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 65.4%
PIT: 34.6%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.49
PIT: 2.73
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 21-4-5 | 0.913 SV% | 2.29 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | COL | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.863 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.692 |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • COL at home vs PIT: 2-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-03-04 | COL 4 - 1 PIT | COL | COL |
| 2024-12-10 | PIT 2 - 6 COL | COL | PIT |
| 2024-03-24 | COL 5 - 4 PIT | COL | COL |
| 2023-10-26 | PIT 4 - 0 COL | PIT | PIT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:53 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 15:11 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 13:47 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 15:40 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 16:05 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 19:30 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 03:32 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 15:22 | COL | Goal |
| 4 | 00:54 | COL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 65.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 5 - 4 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 3.5 - 2.7