New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2024-03-24 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 0 - 4 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 52.7%

NJD: 47.3%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.09

NJD: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • NYI at home vs NJD: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	NJD 1 - 3 NYI	NYI	NJD
2026-01-06	NYI 9 - 0 NJD	NYI	NYI
2025-12-23	NYI 2 - 1 NJD	NYI	NYI
2025-11-10	NJD 2 - 3 NYI	NYI	NJD
2025-04-13	NJD 0 - 1 NYI	NYI	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	17	0	1.35
1	NJD	12	0	0.49
2	NYI	14	0	0.73
2	NJD	19	2	1.24
3	NYI	19	0	1.01
3	NJD	10	3	1.34

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 0 - 4 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.1 - 3.0