Toronto Maple Leafs at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2024-03-24 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 1 Toronto Maple Leafs

Win Probability

CAR: 77.2%

TOR: 22.8%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.24

TOR: 2.58

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • CAR at home vs TOR: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-20	TOR 3 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-12-04	CAR 1 - 5 TOR	TOR	CAR
2025-11-09	TOR 4 - 5 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-04-13	CAR 1 - 4 TOR	TOR	CAR
2025-02-22	TOR 6 - 3 CAR	TOR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	21	3	1.94
1	TOR	11	1	0.70
2	CAR	22	0	0.98
2	TOR	20	2	1.51
3	CAR	16	1	0.99
3	TOR	18	1	1.35

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 77.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 5.8

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 2 - 1 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 3.2 - 2.6