Edmonton Oilers at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2024-03-24 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 5 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

OTT: 51.5%

EDM: 48.5%

Expected Goals

OTT: 2.94

EDM: 3.37

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • OTT at home vs EDM: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-03	EDM 5 - 4 OTT	EDM	OTT
2025-10-21	OTT 2 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM
2024-12-22	EDM 3 - 1 OTT	EDM	EDM
2024-11-19	OTT 2 - 5 EDM	EDM	OTT
2024-03-24	OTT 5 - 3 EDM	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	9	1	0.77
1	EDM	18	3	1.48
2	OTT	9	0	0.54
2	EDM	23	1	1.29
3	OTT	5	2	1.24
3	EDM	11	0	0.89

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 5 - 3 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.9 - 3.4