Dallas Stars at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2024-03-24 • Mullett Arena

Arizona Coyotes 2 - 4 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

ARI: 45.0%

DAL: 55.0%

Expected Goals

ARI: 2.76

DAL: 3.40

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • ARI at home vs DAL: 0-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-24	ARI 2 - 4 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-03-20	DAL 5 - 2 ARI	DAL	DAL
2023-11-14	DAL 4 - 3 ARI	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	10	0	0.52
1	DAL	18	0	1.30
2	ARI	16	0	0.54
2	DAL	26	1	1.64
3	ARI	17	2	2.06
3	DAL	11	2	1.94

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 55.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 2 - 4 Dallas Stars

Expected: 2.8 - 3.4