Montreal Canadiens at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2024-03-24 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 1 - 5 Montreal Canadiens
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 57.7%
MTL: 42.3%
Expected Goals
SEA: 3.13
MTL: 2.98
Total Goals
Median: 5.9
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SEA
Joey Daccord - 16-13-5 | 0.902 SV% | 2.84 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 18-5-4 | 0.892 SV% | 2.96 GAA
| Stat | SEA | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.889 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.919 | 0.903 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.791 | 0.857 |
| GAA | 2.77 | 3.01 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • SEA at home vs MTL: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-10-28 | SEA 3 - 4 MTL | MTL | SEA |
| 2025-10-14 | MTL 5 - 4 SEA | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-03-12 | SEA 5 - 4 MTL | SEA | SEA |
| 2024-10-29 | MTL 2 - 8 SEA | SEA | MTL |
| 2024-03-24 | SEA 1 - 5 MTL | MTL | SEA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:18 | MTL | Goal |
| 1 | 06:22 | MTL | Goal |
| 1 | 17:33 | MTL | Goal |
| 1 | 18:00 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 00:56 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 13:16 | MTL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 1 - 5 Montreal Canadiens
Expected: 3.1 - 3.0