Vegas Golden Knights at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2024-03-25 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 1 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

STL: 35.6%

VGK: 64.4%

Expected Goals

STL: 2.78

VGK: 3.44

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • STL at home vs VGK: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-10	VGK 4 - 2 STL	VGK	VGK
2026-01-02	STL 4 - 3 VGK	STL	VGK
2025-11-15	STL 1 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-01-23	STL 2 - 4 VGK	VGK	VGK
2025-01-20	VGK 4 - 5 STL	STL	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	11	0	0.59
1	VGK	15	1	1.35
2	STL	10	0	0.51
2	VGK	20	0	0.94
3	STL	16	0	0.92
3	VGK	11	0	0.68
4	STL	2	0	0.26
4	VGK	1	0	0.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 64.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 1 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 2.8 - 3.4