Boston Bruins at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2024-03-26 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 3 - 4 Boston Bruins

🚨 Upset Loss (52% underdog)

Win Probability

FLA: 52.4%

BOS: 47.6%

Expected Goals

FLA: 2.85

BOS: 3.25

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 53% • FLA at home vs BOS: 4-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	FLA 2 - 1 BOS	FLA	FLA
2026-02-04	FLA 5 - 4 BOS	FLA	FLA
2025-10-21	BOS 3 - 4 FLA	FLA	FLA
2025-03-11	BOS 3 - 2 FLA	BOS	BOS
2025-01-11	FLA 3 - 4 BOS	BOS	FLA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	14	1	1.09
1	BOS	12	0	0.75
2	FLA	13	0	0.86
2	BOS	7	1	0.42
3	FLA	11	0	0.50
3	BOS	8	1	0.66

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 52.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 3 - 4 Boston Bruins

Expected: 2.8 - 3.2