Philadelphia Flyers at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-03-26 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 6 - 5 Philadelphia Flyers

🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 43.6%

PHI: 56.4%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.06

PHI: 3.16

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • NYR at home vs PHI: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-09	PHI 2 - 6 NYR	NYR	PHI
2026-02-26	NYR 2 - 3 PHI	PHI	NYR
2026-01-17	PHI 3 - 6 NYR	NYR	PHI
2025-12-20	NYR 5 - 4 PHI	NYR	NYR
2025-04-09	NYR 5 - 8 PHI	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	15	0	0.37
1	PHI	19	0	0.95
2	NYR	12	0	0.47
2	PHI	17	0	0.90
3	NYR	11	2	1.07
3	PHI	22	1	1.68
4	NYR	1	0	0.12
4	PHI	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 6 - 5 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.1 - 3.2