Carolina Hurricanes at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2024-03-26 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 4 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes

🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)

Win Probability

PIT: 44.3%

CAR: 55.7%

Expected Goals

PIT: 2.81

CAR: 3.36

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • PIT at home vs CAR: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-22	PIT 1 - 5 CAR	CAR	PIT
2026-03-18	CAR 6 - 5 PIT	CAR	CAR
2026-03-10	CAR 5 - 4 PIT	CAR	CAR
2025-12-30	PIT 5 - 1 CAR	PIT	PIT
2025-01-05	CAR 4 - 3 PIT	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	13	0	0.64
1	CAR	12	1	0.64
2	PIT	9	0	0.44
2	CAR	28	0	1.34
3	PIT	12	3	2.22
3	CAR	25	0	0.82

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 4 - 1 Carolina Hurricanes

Expected: 2.8 - 3.4