Detroit Red Wings at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2024-03-26 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 4 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

Win Probability

WSH: 54.8%

DET: 45.2%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.40

DET: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • WSH at home vs DET: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	DET 3 - 4 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-12-21	DET 3 - 2 WSH	DET	DET
2025-12-20	WSH 2 - 5 DET	DET	DET
2025-03-18	WSH 4 - 1 DET	WSH	WSH
2025-03-07	WSH 5 - 2 DET	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	13	0	0.90
1	DET	11	1	0.75
2	WSH	18	1	1.08
2	DET	28	3	2.92
3	WSH	12	0	0.63
3	DET	11	0	0.68
4	WSH	4	0	0.26
4	DET	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 4 - 3 Detroit Red Wings

Expected: 3.4 - 3.0