Vegas Golden Knights at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2024-03-26 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 5 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

NSH: 60.3%

VGK: 39.7%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.39

VGK: 3.53

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • NSH at home vs VGK: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	NSH 4 - 1 VGK	NSH	NSH
2026-01-17	VGK 7 - 2 NSH	VGK	VGK
2025-12-31	VGK 2 - 4 NSH	NSH	VGK
2025-04-12	VGK 5 - 3 NSH	VGK	VGK
2025-03-29	NSH 1 - 3 VGK	VGK	NSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	18	0	0.92
1	VGK	18	0	1.10
2	NSH	19	0	1.26
2	VGK	11	0	0.92
3	NSH	12	1	1.80
3	VGK	15	1	1.16
4	NSH	1	1	0.81
4	VGK	0	0	0.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 5 - 4 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.4 - 3.5