Edmonton Oilers at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2024-03-26 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

Win Probability

WPG: 47.2%

EDM: 52.8%

Expected Goals

WPG: 2.92

EDM: 3.26

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • WPG at home vs EDM: 0-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-08	WPG 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	WPG
2025-12-29	WPG 1 - 3 EDM	EDM	WPG
2025-12-06	EDM 6 - 2 WPG	EDM	EDM
2025-04-13	WPG 1 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2025-03-20	EDM 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	16	0	1.01
1	EDM	12	0	0.48
2	WPG	8	0	0.64
2	EDM	20	0	1.22
3	WPG	10	0	0.67
3	EDM	13	1	1.46
4	WPG	1	0	0.06
4	EDM	2	1	0.58

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 3 - 4 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.9 - 3.3