Ottawa Senators at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2024-03-27 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 2 - 6 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

BUF: 48.2%

OTT: 51.8%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.31

OTT: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • BUF at home vs OTT: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-02	OTT 4 - 1 BUF	OTT	OTT
2025-12-23	OTT 2 - 3 BUF	BUF	OTT
2025-10-15	BUF 8 - 4 OTT	BUF	OTT
2025-04-01	OTT 2 - 5 BUF	BUF	OTT
2025-03-25	BUF 3 - 2 OTT	BUF	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	15	1	1.07
1	OTT	21	3	2.00
2	BUF	27	0	1.39
2	OTT	20	2	1.55
3	BUF	15	0	0.55
3	OTT	14	1	1.25

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 2 - 6 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0