New York Islanders at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2024-03-28 • Amerant Bank Arena
Florida Panthers 2 - 3 New York Islanders
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 57.7%
NYI: 42.3%
Expected Goals
FLA: 3.07
NYI: 3.46
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 21-17-1 | 0.871 SV% | 3.13 GAA
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | FLA | NYI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.837 | 0.930 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 2.80 | 2.55 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 43% • FLA at home vs NYI: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-07 | FLA 4 - 1 NYI | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-03-16 | NYI 4 - 2 FLA | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-02-02 | FLA 6 - 3 NYI | FLA | FLA |
| 2024-10-26 | NYI 3 - 6 FLA | FLA | NYI |
| 2024-03-28 | FLA 2 - 3 NYI | NYI | FLA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:13 | FLA | Goal |
| 1 | 13:20 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 06:32 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 08:43 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 10:42 | NYI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 2 - 3 New York Islanders
Expected: 3.1 - 3.5