San Jose Sharks at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2024-03-28 • Xcel Energy Center

Minnesota Wild 3 - 1 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

MIN: 65.1%

SJS: 34.9%

Expected Goals

MIN: 4.44

SJS: 2.94

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MIN at home vs SJS: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2025-12-31	SJS 4 - 3 MIN	SJS	MIN
2025-11-11	MIN 1 - 2 SJS	SJS	MIN
2025-10-26	MIN 5 - 6 SJS	SJS	MIN
2025-04-09	MIN 8 - 7 SJS	MIN	MIN
2025-01-11	SJS 1 - 3 MIN	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	23	1	2.11
1	SJS	4	0	0.19
2	MIN	12	0	0.75
2	SJS	13	0	0.74
3	MIN	10	2	0.97
3	SJS	19	0	0.75

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 65.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 7.4

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 3 - 1 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 4.4 - 2.9