Calgary Flames at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2024-03-28 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 5 - 3 Calgary Flames

🚨 Upset Win (53% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 46.6%

CGY: 53.4%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.08

CGY: 3.35

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • STL at home vs CGY: 4-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-18	CGY 2 - 1 STL	CGY	STL
2025-11-11	STL 3 - 2 CGY	STL	STL
2025-10-11	CGY 2 - 4 STL	STL	STL
2025-01-16	STL 4 - 1 CGY	STL	CGY
2025-01-14	STL 2 - 1 CGY	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	14	0	0.84
1	CGY	13	0	0.57
2	STL	11	1	0.94
2	CGY	14	0	0.60
3	STL	6	3	2.57
3	CGY	17	1	1.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 5 - 3 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.1 - 3.4