Dallas Stars at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2024-03-28 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 1 - 3 Dallas Stars

Win Probability

VAN: 46.2%

DAL: 53.8%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.97

DAL: 2.93

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • VAN at home vs DAL: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-02	VAN 1 - 6 DAL	DAL	VAN
2025-11-20	VAN 2 - 4 DAL	DAL	DAL
2025-10-16	DAL 3 - 5 VAN	VAN	DAL
2025-04-08	DAL 5 - 6 VAN	VAN	VAN
2025-03-09	VAN 1 - 4 DAL	DAL	VAN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	12	1	0.56
1	DAL	18	0	1.16
2	VAN	15	2	1.55
2	DAL	19	1	1.43
3	VAN	15	0	0.97
3	DAL	18	5	2.87

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 53.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 4.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 1 - 3 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.0 - 2.9