New Jersey Devils at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2024-03-29 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 5 - 2 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

BUF: 50.9%

NJD: 49.1%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.51

NJD: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • BUF at home vs NJD: 2-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-25	NJD 1 - 2 BUF	BUF	NJD
2025-12-21	NJD 1 - 3 BUF	BUF	NJD
2025-11-28	BUF 0 - 5 NJD	NJD	BUF
2025-02-02	BUF 4 - 3 NJD	BUF	NJD
2024-10-05	NJD 3 - 1 BUF	NJD	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	13	1	0.83
1	NJD	15	0	0.81
2	BUF	12	0	0.56
2	NJD	19	2	1.50
3	BUF	23	2	2.44
3	NJD	12	0	0.48

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 50.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 5 - 2 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.5 - 3.1