New York Rangers at Arizona Coyotes NHL Predictions

2024-03-30 • Mullett Arena

Arizona Coyotes 5 - 8 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

ARI: 55.5%

NYR: 44.5%

Expected Goals

ARI: 3.54

NYR: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • ARI at home vs NYR: 0-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2024-03-30	ARI 5 - 8 NYR	NYR	ARI
2023-10-16	NYR 2 - 1 ARI	NYR	NYR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ARI	16	1	0.98
1	NYR	16	0	0.81
2	ARI	15	0	1.18
2	NYR	11	0	0.68
3	ARI	13	0	0.82
3	NYR	13	2	1.72

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 13.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Arizona Coyotes 5 - 8 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.5 - 2.9