Chicago Blackhawks at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2024-03-30 • Wells Fargo Center

Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 5 Chicago Blackhawks

🚨 Upset Loss (77% underdog)

Win Probability

PHI: 77.0%

CHI: 23.0%

Expected Goals

PHI: 5.19

CHI: 2.34

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PHI at home vs CHI: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-26	PHI 5 - 1 CHI	PHI	PHI
2025-12-23	CHI 1 - 3 PHI	PHI	PHI
2025-03-23	CHI 7 - 4 PHI	CHI	PHI
2024-11-23	PHI 3 - 2 CHI	PHI	PHI
2024-03-30	PHI 1 - 5 CHI	CHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	16	0	1.07
1	CHI	12	1	0.99
2	PHI	17	0	0.95
2	CHI	12	0	0.65
3	PHI	17	0	0.70
3	CHI	7	0	0.45

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 77.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 7.5

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 5 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 5.2 - 2.3