Chicago Blackhawks at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions
2024-03-30 • Wells Fargo Center
Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 5 Chicago Blackhawks
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PHI: 58.4%
CHI: 41.6%
Expected Goals
PHI: 3.35
CHI: 3.01
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PHI
Dan Vladar - 24-12-7 | 0.907 SV% | 2.44 GAA
CHI
Spencer Knight - 18-21-10 | 0.908 SV% | 2.71 GAA
| Stat | PHI | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.930 | 0.906 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.896 |
| GAA | 2.40 | 2.63 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • PHI at home vs CHI: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-26 | PHI 5 - 1 CHI | PHI | PHI |
| 2025-12-23 | CHI 1 - 3 PHI | PHI | CHI |
| 2025-03-23 | CHI 7 - 4 PHI | CHI | CHI |
| 2024-11-23 | PHI 3 - 2 CHI | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-03-30 | PHI 1 - 5 CHI | CHI | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:01 | CHI | Goal |
| 1 | 17:00 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 00:17 | CHI | Goal |
| 2 | 17:28 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 09:09 | CHI | Goal |
| 3 | 14:33 | CHI | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 58.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Philadelphia Flyers 1 - 5 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 3.3 - 3.0
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