Ottawa Senators at Winnipeg Jets NHL Predictions

2024-03-30 • Canada Life Centre

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 3 Ottawa Senators

🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)

Win Probability

WPG: 50.0%

OTT: 50.0%

Expected Goals

WPG: 3.28

OTT: 2.81

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • WPG at home vs OTT: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-03	OTT 4 - 2 WPG	OTT	OTT
2025-12-15	WPG 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-02-26	OTT 1 - 4 WPG	WPG	OTT
2024-12-28	WPG 4 - 2 OTT	WPG	OTT
2024-03-30	WPG 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	WPG

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WPG	6	0	0.24
1	OTT	9	0	0.54
2	WPG	16	2	1.07
2	OTT	18	1	1.25
3	WPG	23	1	1.58
3	OTT	19	0	0.85

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Winnipeg Jets 2 - 3 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.3 - 2.8