Dallas Stars at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2024-03-30 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 0 - 3 Dallas Stars
🚨 Upset Loss (51% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 51.3%
DAL: 48.7%
Expected Goals
SEA: 3.06
DAL: 3.24
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 43%
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • SEA at home vs DAL: 0-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-25 | DAL 4 - 1 SEA | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-11-26 | SEA 2 - 3 DAL | DAL | SEA |
| 2025-11-09 | DAL 2 - 1 SEA | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-03-31 | SEA 1 - 3 DAL | DAL | SEA |
| 2025-03-29 | SEA 1 - 5 DAL | DAL | SEA |
Shot Quality by Period
| Period | Team | Shots | High Danger | xG |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SEA | 6 | 0 | 0.34 |
| 1 | DAL | 19 | 0 | 0.89 |
| 2 | SEA | 11 | 0 | 0.45 |
| 2 | DAL | 15 | 0 | 0.78 |
| 3 | SEA | 10 | 0 | 0.16 |
| 3 | DAL | 13 | 1 | 1.38 |
Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 3.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 0 - 3 Dallas Stars
Expected: 3.1 - 3.2
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