Edmonton Oilers at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2024-04-01 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 3 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Win (65% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 34.7%

EDM: 65.3%

Expected Goals

STL: 2.66

EDM: 3.22

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • STL at home vs EDM: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-13	STL 3 - 2 EDM	STL	STL
2026-01-18	EDM 5 - 0 STL	EDM	EDM
2025-11-03	STL 3 - 2 EDM	STL	EDM
2025-04-09	EDM 4 - 3 STL	EDM	EDM
2025-02-04	STL 2 - 3 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	10	0	0.51
1	EDM	10	0	0.32
2	STL	20	1	1.74
2	EDM	16	0	1.48
3	STL	8	0	0.70
3	EDM	16	0	0.86
4	STL	1	1	0.21
4	EDM	4	0	0.28

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 65.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 3 - 2 Edmonton Oilers

Expected: 2.7 - 3.2