Washington Capitals at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2024-04-02 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 6 - 2 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

BUF: 57.4%

WSH: 42.6%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.61

WSH: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • BUF at home vs WSH: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	WSH 6 - 2 BUF	WSH	BUF
2026-03-12	BUF 1 - 2 WSH	WSH	BUF
2025-11-01	BUF 4 - 3 WSH	BUF	BUF
2025-03-30	WSH 5 - 8 BUF	BUF	WSH
2025-01-06	BUF 4 - 3 WSH	BUF	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	16	1	1.14
1	WSH	8	1	0.44
2	BUF	17	0	1.51
2	WSH	13	1	0.97
3	BUF	14	0	0.86
3	WSH	18	0	1.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 6 - 2 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.6 - 3.0