Pittsburgh Penguins at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions
2024-04-02 • Prudential Center
New Jersey Devils 3 - 6 Pittsburgh Penguins
🚨 Upset Loss (63% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NJD: 62.7%
PIT: 37.3%
Expected Goals
NJD: 3.16
PIT: 2.97
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NJD
Jacob Markstrom - 15-13-1 | 0.882 SV% | 3.20 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | NJD | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.884 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.899 | 0.863 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.966 |
| GAA | 3.32 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • NJD at home vs PIT: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-26 | PIT | ||
| 2026-01-08 | PIT 4 - 1 NJD | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-11-08 | NJD 2 - 1 PIT | NJD | NJD |
| 2025-04-11 | NJD 2 - 4 PIT | PIT | NJD |
| 2025-03-15 | PIT 7 - 3 NJD | PIT | PIT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:54 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 19:43 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 09:42 | NJD | Goal |
| 2 | 17:47 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 06:48 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 07:55 | NJD | Goal |
| 3 | 16:16 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 16:38 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 17:07 | PIT | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 62.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
New Jersey Devils 3 - 6 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 3.2 - 3.0