Pittsburgh Penguins at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2024-04-02 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 3 - 6 Pittsburgh Penguins

🚨 Upset Loss (68% underdog)

Win Probability

NJD: 67.9%

PIT: 32.1%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.58

PIT: 2.83

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • NJD at home vs PIT: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	NJD 2 - 5 PIT	PIT	NJD
2026-02-26	PIT 4 - 1 NJD	PIT	PIT
2026-01-08	PIT 4 - 1 NJD	PIT	PIT
2025-11-08	NJD 2 - 1 PIT	NJD	NJD
2025-04-11	NJD 2 - 4 PIT	PIT	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	15	0	1.01
1	PIT	7	0	0.17
2	NJD	15	3	1.56
2	PIT	13	1	0.65
3	NJD	8	0	0.42
3	PIT	13	1	1.48

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 67.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

New Jersey Devils 3 - 6 Pittsburgh Penguins

Expected: 3.6 - 2.8