Anaheim Ducks at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions
2024-04-02 • Scotiabank Saddledome
Calgary Flames 3 - 5 Anaheim Ducks
🚨 Upset Loss (63% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CGY: 63.2%
ANA: 36.8%
Expected Goals
CGY: 4.00
ANA: 3.17
Total Goals
Median: 7.0
Over 5.5: 74%
Over 6.5: 60%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CGY
Dustin Wolf - 16-21-3 | 0.895 SV% | 3.00 GAA
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 22-13-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.98 GAA
| Stat | CGY | ANA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.877 | 0.904 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.810 | 0.914 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 3.15 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 38% • CGY at home vs ANA: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-25 | CGY 3 - 4 ANA | ANA | CGY |
| 2025-04-09 | ANA 4 - 3 CGY | ANA | ANA |
| 2025-04-03 | CGY 4 - 1 ANA | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-01-30 | CGY 4 - 1 ANA | CGY | CGY |
| 2025-01-07 | ANA 2 - 3 CGY | CGY | ANA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14:03 | ANA | Goal |
| 2 | 02:30 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 10:26 | CGY | Goal |
| 2 | 13:36 | CGY | Goal |
| 3 | 01:52 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 05:09 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 09:34 | ANA | Goal |
| 3 | 13:14 | ANA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 63.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 7.2
Score Breakdown
Calgary Flames 3 - 5 Anaheim Ducks
Expected: 4.0 - 3.2