Anaheim Ducks at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2024-04-02 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 3 - 5 Anaheim Ducks

🚨 Upset Loss (63% underdog)

Win Probability

CGY: 62.9%

ANA: 37.1%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.61

ANA: 2.59

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • CGY at home vs ANA: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	ANA 3 - 5 CGY	CGY	CGY
2026-03-26	CGY 2 - 3 ANA	ANA	ANA
2026-03-01	ANA 3 - 2 CGY	ANA	ANA
2026-01-25	CGY 3 - 4 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-04-09	ANA 4 - 3 CGY	ANA	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	9	0	0.38
1	ANA	20	0	1.03
2	CGY	18	0	0.80
2	ANA	10	1	0.56
3	CGY	10	0	0.59
3	ANA	14	0	0.62

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 62.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 3 - 5 Anaheim Ducks

Expected: 3.6 - 2.6