Vancouver Canucks at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2024-04-02 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 6 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

Win Probability

VGK: 56.3%

VAN: 43.7%

Expected Goals

VGK: 5.99

VAN: 3.05

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 51%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 91% • VGK at home vs VAN: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	VAN 1 - 2 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-03-30	VGK 4 - 2 VAN	VGK	VGK
2026-02-04	VGK 5 - 2 VAN	VGK	VGK
2025-04-16	VAN 1 - 4 VGK	VGK	VAN
2025-04-06	VAN 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	14	2	1.14
1	VAN	12	0	0.72
2	VGK	16	3	1.91
2	VAN	12	1	0.83
3	VGK	9	0	0.47
3	VAN	15	0	0.37

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 9.0

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 6 - 3 Vancouver Canucks

Expected: 6.0 - 3.0