New Jersey Devils at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2024-04-03 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 4 - 3 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

NYR: 62.4%

NJD: 37.6%

Expected Goals

NYR: 3.33

NJD: 3.11

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • NYR at home vs NJD: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	NYR 4 - 1 NJD	NYR	NJD
2026-03-18	NYR 3 - 6 NJD	NJD	NJD
2026-03-07	NJD 6 - 3 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-04-05	NJD 4 - 0 NYR	NJD	NJD
2025-01-09	NYR 3 - 2 NJD	NYR	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	22	2	2.28
1	NJD	7	0	0.25
2	NYR	15	0	0.92
2	NJD	11	0	0.88
3	NYR	20	1	1.02
3	NJD	9	0	0.34

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 4 - 3 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.3 - 3.1