Florida Panthers at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2024-04-04 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 0 - 6 Florida Panthers

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

Win Probability

OTT: 53.3%

FLA: 46.7%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.03

FLA: 3.19

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • OTT at home vs FLA: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	OTT 5 - 1 FLA	OTT	OTT
2026-03-31	FLA 6 - 3 OTT	FLA	OTT
2026-01-10	OTT 2 - 3 FLA	FLA	OTT
2025-10-11	FLA 6 - 2 OTT	FLA	OTT
2025-04-05	OTT 3 - 0 FLA	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	23	2	2.14
1	FLA	15	0	0.87
2	OTT	9	0	0.41
2	FLA	16	0	0.99
3	OTT	13	0	0.23
3	FLA	11	0	0.74

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 0 - 6 Florida Panthers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2