Colorado Avalanche at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions
2024-04-04 • Xcel Energy Center
Minnesota Wild 2 - 5 Colorado Avalanche
🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MIN: 52.9%
COL: 47.1%
Expected Goals
MIN: 2.83
COL: 3.27
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MIN
Filip Gustavsson - 20-9-6 | 0.906 SV% | 2.64 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 21-4-5 | 0.913 SV% | 2.29 GAA
| Stat | MIN | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.912 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.895 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.949 |
| GAA | 2.47 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 40% • MIN at home vs COL: 2-4
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-26 | COL | ||
| 2025-12-21 | MIN 1 - 5 COL | COL | MIN |
| 2025-11-28 | MIN 3 - 2 COL | MIN | COL |
| 2025-03-11 | MIN 2 - 1 COL | MIN | MIN |
| 2025-02-28 | COL 5 - 2 MIN | COL | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:34 | COL | Goal |
| 1 | 08:05 | MIN | Goal |
| 1 | 12:28 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 00:43 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 10:10 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 06:32 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 18:32 | COL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 52.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Minnesota Wild 2 - 5 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 2.8 - 3.3