Los Angeles Kings at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2024-04-04 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 1 - 2 Los Angeles Kings

🚨 Upset Loss (57% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 57.5%

LAK: 42.5%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.02

LAK: 3.62

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • SJS at home vs LAK: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-07	LAK 3 - 4 SJS	SJS	LAK
2025-11-20	SJS 4 - 3 LAK	SJS	SJS
2025-10-28	SJS 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	LAK
2025-03-30	LAK 8 - 1 SJS	LAK	LAK
2024-11-25	SJS 7 - 2 LAK	SJS	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	12	1	0.71
1	LAK	16	0	0.99
2	SJS	7	0	0.58
2	LAK	7	0	0.46
3	SJS	5	0	0.38
3	LAK	12	2	1.12

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 1 - 2 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.0 - 3.6