Washington Capitals at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2024-04-05 • PNC Arena

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 2 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

CAR: 79.2%

WSH: 20.8%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.92

WSH: 2.30

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 41%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 69% • CAR at home vs WSH: 5-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	WSH 4 - 3 CAR	WSH	CAR
2025-12-11	WSH 2 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-11-11	CAR 1 - 4 WSH	WSH	CAR
2025-05-15	WSH 1 - 3 CAR	CAR	CAR
2025-05-12	CAR 5 - 2 WSH	CAR	CAR

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	23	1	0.99
1	WSH	8	2	1.01
2	CAR	25	2	1.64
2	WSH	5	0	0.33
3	CAR	20	3	2.02
3	WSH	13	0	0.39

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 79.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 2 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.9 - 2.3