Dallas Stars at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2024-04-06 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 2 Dallas Stars

🚨 Upset Win (68% underdog)

Win Probability

CHI: 31.8%

DAL: 68.2%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.35

DAL: 3.93

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • CHI at home vs DAL: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-08	DAL 4 - 3 CHI	DAL	DAL
2026-01-01	CHI 4 - 3 DAL	CHI	CHI
2025-12-27	DAL 3 - 4 CHI	CHI	CHI
2024-12-29	CHI 1 - 5 DAL	DAL	DAL
2024-11-27	CHI 6 - 2 DAL	CHI	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	6	0	0.34
1	DAL	19	1	1.15
2	CHI	6	1	0.53
2	DAL	29	1	1.94
3	CHI	8	0	0.45
3	DAL	11	1	0.88

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 68.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Chicago Blackhawks 3 - 2 Dallas Stars

Expected: 2.4 - 3.9