St. Louis Blues at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions
2024-04-06 • SAP Center at San Jose
San Jose Sharks 3 - 2 St. Louis Blues
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SJS: 54.7%
STL: 45.3%
Expected Goals
SJS: 2.62
STL: 3.04
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
| Stat | SJS | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.896 | 0.869 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.874 | 0.826 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | — |
| GAA | 3.36 | 3.56 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • SJS at home vs STL: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-12-12 | STL 3 - 4 SJS | SJS | STL |
| 2024-11-21 | STL 3 - 2 SJS | STL | STL |
| 2024-10-10 | SJS 4 - 5 STL | STL | SJS |
| 2024-04-06 | SJS 3 - 2 STL | SJS | SJS |
| 2024-03-30 | STL 0 - 4 SJS | SJS | STL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 14:42 | SJS | Goal |
| 2 | 16:59 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 03:21 | SJS | Goal |
| 3 | 17:31 | SJS | Goal |
| 4 | 03:56 | SJS | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 54.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
San Jose Sharks 3 - 2 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 2.6 - 3.0