St. Louis Blues at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2024-04-06 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 3 - 2 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Win (58% underdog)

Win Probability

SJS: 41.9%

STL: 58.1%

Expected Goals

SJS: 3.04

STL: 3.27

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 22% • SJS at home vs STL: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-30	SJS 5 - 4 STL	SJS	STL
2026-03-26	STL 2 - 1 SJS	STL	STL
2026-03-06	SJS 2 - 3 STL	STL	SJS
2024-12-12	STL 3 - 4 SJS	SJS	STL
2024-11-21	STL 3 - 2 SJS	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	8	0	0.20
1	STL	23	1	1.29
2	SJS	15	1	1.29
2	STL	10	0	0.60
3	SJS	7	0	0.39
3	STL	17	0	1.10
4	SJS	1	0	0.05
4	STL	4	0	0.41

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 58.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 3 - 2 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.0 - 3.3