New Jersey Devils at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions

2024-04-06 • Canadian Tire Centre

Ottawa Senators 3 - 4 New Jersey Devils

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

Win Probability

OTT: 55.4%

NJD: 44.6%

Expected Goals

OTT: 3.30

NJD: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • OTT at home vs NJD: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	NJD 4 - 3 OTT	NJD	NJD
2026-01-31	OTT 4 - 1 NJD	OTT	OTT
2025-12-09	OTT 3 - 4 NJD	NJD	OTT
2025-03-22	NJD 2 - 3 OTT	OTT	OTT
2025-01-19	NJD 1 - 2 OTT	OTT	NJD

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	OTT	11	1	0.56
1	NJD	15	0	1.03
2	OTT	13	0	0.43
2	NJD	15	1	1.07
3	OTT	25	1	1.85
3	NJD	11	0	0.86

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Ottawa Senators 3 - 4 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.3 - 3.0