Montreal Canadiens at New York Rangers NHL Predictions
2024-04-07 • Madison Square Garden
New York Rangers 5 - 2 Montreal Canadiens
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYR: 64.1%
MTL: 35.9%
Expected Goals
NYR: 3.82
MTL: 2.46
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 46%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 18-5-4 | 0.892 SV% | 2.96 GAA
| Stat | NYR | MTL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.889 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.942 | 0.903 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.778 | — |
| GAA | 2.51 | 3.01 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 88% • NYR at home vs MTL: 4-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-13 | NYR 5 - 4 MTL | NYR | NYR |
| 2025-10-18 | MTL 3 - 4 NYR | NYR | MTL |
| 2025-01-19 | MTL 5 - 4 NYR | MTL | MTL |
| 2024-11-30 | NYR 4 - 3 MTL | NYR | NYR |
| 2024-10-22 | MTL 2 - 7 NYR | NYR | NYR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 19:30 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 12:31 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 03:59 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 06:09 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 12:13 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 16:56 | NYR | Goal |
| 3 | 18:45 | NYR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 64.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
New York Rangers 5 - 2 Montreal Canadiens
Expected: 3.8 - 2.5