St. Louis Blues at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions
2024-04-07 • Honda Center
Anaheim Ducks 5 - 6 St. Louis Blues
🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
ANA: 54.9%
STL: 45.1%
Expected Goals
ANA: 2.95
STL: 3.56
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 59%
Over 6.5: 43%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
ANA
Lukas Dostal - 22-13-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.98 GAA
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
| Stat | ANA | STL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.869 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.904 | 0.826 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.600 |
| GAA | 3.15 | 3.56 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 43% • ANA at home vs STL: 0-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-01 | STL 1 - 4 ANA | ANA | STL |
| 2025-03-16 | STL 7 - 2 ANA | STL | STL |
| 2025-03-07 | ANA 3 - 4 STL | STL | ANA |
| 2025-01-09 | STL 6 - 2 ANA | STL | STL |
| 2024-04-07 | ANA 5 - 6 STL | STL | ANA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 00:11 | STL | Goal |
| 1 | 02:37 | ANA | Goal |
| 1 | 12:36 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 03:41 | ANA | Goal |
| 2 | 13:36 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 15:50 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 01:01 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 02:40 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 08:04 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 16:09 | ANA | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | ANA | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Anaheim Ducks 5 - 6 St. Louis Blues
Expected: 3.0 - 3.6