St. Louis Blues at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2024-04-07 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 5 - 6 St. Louis Blues

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

Win Probability

ANA: 61.3%

STL: 38.7%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.43

STL: 3.13

Total Goals

Median: 5.6

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • ANA at home vs STL: 0-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-03	ANA 2 - 6 STL	STL	ANA
2026-03-08	ANA 0 - 4 STL	STL	ANA
2025-12-01	STL 1 - 4 ANA	ANA	STL
2025-03-16	STL 7 - 2 ANA	STL	STL
2025-03-07	ANA 3 - 4 STL	STL	STL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	16	2	1.33
1	STL	11	0	0.78
2	ANA	18	0	1.09
2	STL	13	0	1.04
3	ANA	11	0	0.57
3	STL	13	0	1.01
4	ANA	4	0	0.22
4	STL	4	0	0.38
5	ANA	3	0	0.20
5	STL	2	1	0.98

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Anaheim Ducks 5 - 6 St. Louis Blues

Expected: 3.4 - 3.1