Vegas Golden Knights at Vancouver Canucks NHL Predictions

2024-04-08 • Rogers Arena

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

VAN: 52.1%

VGK: 47.9%

Expected Goals

VAN: 2.33

VGK: 3.65

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 57%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 91% • VAN at home vs VGK: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-07	VAN 1 - 2 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-03-30	VGK 4 - 2 VAN	VGK	VGK
2026-02-04	VGK 5 - 2 VAN	VGK	VGK
2025-04-16	VAN 1 - 4 VGK	VGK	VAN
2025-04-06	VAN 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VAN	12	1	1.24
1	VGK	9	0	0.37
2	VAN	14	1	0.96
2	VGK	13	0	0.64
3	VAN	13	1	1.00
3	VGK	13	1	1.01

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Vancouver Canucks 4 - 3 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 2.3 - 3.7