Carolina Hurricanes at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2024-04-09 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 1 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes
🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 50.1%
CAR: 49.9%
Expected Goals
BOS: 1.89
CAR: 3.44
Total Goals
Median: 5.3
Over 5.5: 47%
Over 6.5: 30%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 22-12-3 | 0.903 SV% | 2.92 GAA
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
| Stat | BOS | CAR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.901 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.889 | 0.915 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.934 | — |
| GAA | 2.84 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BOS at home vs CAR: 2-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-17 | BOS 1 - 3 CAR | CAR | BOS |
| 2025-11-01 | BOS 2 - 1 CAR | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-04-05 | BOS 5 - 1 CAR | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-03-06 | CAR 3 - 2 BOS | CAR | CAR |
| 2024-10-31 | CAR 8 - 2 BOS | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 10:55 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 13:05 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 16:56 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 10:14 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 13:22 | CAR | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 50.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.3
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 1 - 4 Carolina Hurricanes
Expected: 1.9 - 3.4