Washington Capitals at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2024-04-09 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 1 - 2 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

DET: 44.0%

WSH: 56.0%

Expected Goals

DET: 3.34

WSH: 3.48

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • DET at home vs WSH: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	DET 3 - 4 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-12-21	DET 3 - 2 WSH	DET	DET
2025-12-20	WSH 2 - 5 DET	DET	DET
2025-03-18	WSH 4 - 1 DET	WSH	WSH
2025-03-07	WSH 5 - 2 DET	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	21	0	1.21
1	WSH	11	1	0.85
2	DET	14	1	0.72
2	WSH	15	1	1.01
3	DET	21	1	1.64
3	WSH	9	0	0.48

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 1 - 2 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.3 - 3.5