Ottawa Senators at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2024-04-09 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 2 - 0 Ottawa Senators

Win Probability

FLA: 56.8%

OTT: 43.2%

Expected Goals

FLA: 3.55

OTT: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • FLA at home vs OTT: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	OTT 5 - 1 FLA	OTT	OTT
2026-03-31	FLA 6 - 3 OTT	FLA	OTT
2026-01-10	OTT 2 - 3 FLA	FLA	OTT
2025-10-11	FLA 6 - 2 OTT	FLA	OTT
2025-04-05	OTT 3 - 0 FLA	OTT	OTT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	15	1	1.43
1	OTT	13	0	0.93
2	FLA	7	0	0.30
2	OTT	12	0	0.32
3	FLA	16	1	1.10
3	OTT	19	1	1.23

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 56.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 2.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Florida Panthers 2 - 0 Ottawa Senators

Expected: 3.6 - 3.0