Philadelphia Flyers at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2024-04-09 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 9 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

MTL: 54.3%

PHI: 45.7%

Expected Goals

MTL: 3.42

PHI: 3.19

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • MTL at home vs PHI: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-14	PHI 4 - 2 MTL	PHI	PHI
2025-12-16	MTL 1 - 4 PHI	PHI	MTL
2025-11-04	MTL 4 - 5 PHI	PHI	MTL
2025-04-05	MTL 3 - 2 PHI	MTL	PHI
2025-03-27	PHI 6 - 4 MTL	PHI	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MTL	9	0	0.62
1	PHI	15	1	0.93
2	MTL	21	1	1.61
2	PHI	23	1	1.46
3	MTL	13	2	0.83
3	PHI	19	2	1.63

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 12.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 9 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.4 - 3.2