Philadelphia Flyers at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions
2024-04-09 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens 9 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MTL: 59.3%
PHI: 40.7%
Expected Goals
MTL: 5.28
PHI: 2.83
Total Goals
Median: 8.0
Over 5.5: 81%
Over 6.5: 72%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 18-5-4 | 0.892 SV% | 2.96 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
| Stat | MTL | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.889 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.903 | 0.918 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.881 |
| GAA | 3.01 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • MTL at home vs PHI: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-16 | MTL 1 - 4 PHI | PHI | MTL |
| 2025-11-04 | MTL 4 - 5 PHI | PHI | MTL |
| 2025-04-05 | MTL 3 - 2 PHI | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-03-27 | PHI 6 - 4 MTL | PHI | PHI |
| 2024-10-27 | PHI 3 - 4 MTL | MTL | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 01:05 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 08:43 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 10:46 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 11:22 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 12:42 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 15:27 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 04:54 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 10:06 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 11:19 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 15:05 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 17:07 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 18:17 | MTL | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 59.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 12.0
Expected: 8.1
Score Breakdown
Montreal Canadiens 9 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 5.3 - 2.8