Winnipeg Jets at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions
2024-04-09 • Bridgestone Arena
Nashville Predators 3 - 4 Winnipeg Jets
🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NSH: 61.6%
WPG: 38.4%
Expected Goals
NSH: 3.45
WPG: 2.97
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NSH
Juuse Saros - 21-17-5 | 0.892 SV% | 3.20 GAA
WPG
Connor Hellebuyck - 13-16-7 | 0.900 SV% | 2.79 GAA
| Stat | NSH | WPG |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.897 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.862 | 0.879 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.833 | 0.968 |
| GAA | 2.93 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 70% • NSH at home vs WPG: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-11-29 | NSH 2 - 5 WPG | WPG | NSH |
| 2025-10-18 | WPG 4 - 1 NSH | WPG | WPG |
| 2025-02-27 | NSH 2 - 1 WPG | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-01-07 | WPG 5 - 2 NSH | WPG | WPG |
| 2024-12-30 | WPG 3 - 0 NSH | WPG | WPG |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 04:05 | NSH | Goal |
| 1 | 06:51 | NSH | Goal |
| 1 | 08:19 | WPG | Goal |
| 1 | 12:46 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 07:34 | WPG | Goal |
| 3 | 09:41 | NSH | Goal |
| 4 | 01:52 | WPG | Goal |
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 61.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Nashville Predators 3 - 4 Winnipeg Jets
Expected: 3.4 - 3.0