Calgary Flames at San Jose Sharks NHL Predictions

2024-04-09 • SAP Center at San Jose

San Jose Sharks 2 - 3 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

SJS: 41.8%

CGY: 58.2%

Expected Goals

SJS: 2.66

CGY: 3.39

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • SJS at home vs CGY: 1-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-26	SJS 1 - 4 CGY	CGY	SJS
2026-01-31	CGY 3 - 2 SJS	CGY	SJS
2025-12-16	SJS 6 - 3 CGY	SJS	CGY
2025-11-13	CGY 2 - 0 SJS	CGY	CGY
2025-04-13	CGY 5 - 2 SJS	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SJS	11	0	0.61
1	CGY	12	0	0.49
2	SJS	12	0	0.84
2	CGY	18	2	1.71
3	SJS	12	0	0.37
3	CGY	19	0	1.05
4	SJS	1	0	0.03
4	CGY	6	2	0.83

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

San Jose Sharks 2 - 3 Calgary Flames

Expected: 2.7 - 3.4