Vegas Golden Knights at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2024-04-10 • Rogers Place

Edmonton Oilers 5 - 1 Vegas Golden Knights

Win Probability

EDM: 62.8%

VGK: 37.2%

Expected Goals

EDM: 3.59

VGK: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 62% • EDM at home vs VGK: 5-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-04	EDM 1 - 5 VGK	VGK	VGK
2026-03-26	VGK 3 - 4 EDM	EDM	VGK
2026-03-08	VGK 2 - 4 EDM	EDM	VGK
2025-12-21	EDM 4 - 3 VGK	EDM	EDM
2025-05-14	VGK 0 - 1 EDM	EDM	EDM

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	EDM	18	1	1.29
1	VGK	12	0	0.66
2	EDM	13	0	0.70
2	VGK	13	2	0.94
3	EDM	13	2	1.34
3	VGK	12	1	0.57

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Edmonton Oilers 5 - 1 Vegas Golden Knights

Expected: 3.6 - 3.0